Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Those who are brave (foolish?) Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! A lovely day to you. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Or stalk me (with love.). And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Dr. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Please pass this post along. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Part of HuffPost Wellness. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. But on all probability it would. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. This button displays the currently selected search type. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. You get the volume of planet Earth. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Probability is a pure odd. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. On one try.. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. This includes personalizing content and advertising. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Are they gross exaggerations? As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Thats a ridiculously huge number. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Think of yourself as dead. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. That's 150,000 generations. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. You can start the series by clicking HERE. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Something was dropped and then picked up. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. But let's think about this some more. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. But lets think about this some more. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Just go have some fucking fun! That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice.